BETWEEN NEOREALISM AND HUMANITARIAN IMPERATIVES: A THEORETICAL ANALYSIS OF BANGLADESH’S STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS IN RESOLVING THE FORCIBLY DISPLACED MYANMAR NATIONALS (FDMN) CRISIS

Authors

  • Brigadier General Ahmed Zamiul Islam, ndc, afwc, psc, MPhil Bangladesh Army

Keywords:

FDMN, neorealism, neoliberalism, collective action, strategic partnerships of Bangladesh

Abstract

Strategic partnerships have emerged as a cornerstone of modern foreign policy, offering a flexible, non-binding framework for sustained bilateral cooperation in a multipolar world. The paper contends that Bangladesh’s current strategy is insufficient and disjointed and analyses the effectiveness of its strategic partnerships in resolving the Forcibly Displaced Myanmar Nationals (FDMN) crisis. Through the use of an integrated theoretical framework, the analysis shows that, although neoliberalism explains Bangladesh’s institutional engagement and neorealism highlights the structural barriers of power asymmetry and conflicting interests, especially those of China and India, collective action theory best explains implementation gaps in burden-sharing. An assessment of potential partners identifies China and India as a geopolitically vital, but self-interest ally, the US as a crucial humanitarian ally with potentially conflicting political objectives, and Türkiye as a very useful but underutilized middle-power mediator. The crisis ultimately validates neorealism as the dominant explanatory lens, demonstrating that strategic partnerships cannot transcend power politics but are instead essential instruments for navigating them. The study explores the idea that in order to achieve a sustainable solution, Bangladesh must embrace a complex, multifaceted approach that skillfully balances its humanitarian goals with the strategic interests of a diverged international community. It must actively promote middle-power partnerships to create a more robust and successful coalition while utilizing major powers for their influence

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Akkas Ahamed, M. A. C. M. S. R., 2020. IJSRP. [Online] Available at: https:// www.ijsrp.org/research-paper-0620.php?rp=P10210094 [Accessed 19 February 2025].

Anas, A., 2020. COVID-19 Fuels Tensions between Rohingya Refugees and Bangladeshi Hosts. [Online] Available at: https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/ news-feature/2020/07/27/Bangladesh-Rohingya-refugee-host-coronavirus-aid [Accessed 18 February 2025].

Aslan, Ö., 2022. The Evolution of Turkey’s ‘South Asia Policy’: Continuities and Ruptures in Outlook, Roles, Actors and Constraints. Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, pp. 1-43.

Aung, K. H., 2025. China Decides How Far the Resistance Can Go in Myanmar. [Online] Available at: https://thediplomat.com/2025/04/china-decides-how-far-theresistance-can-go-in-myanmar/[Accessed 15 October 2025].

Banerjee, S., 2023. Issue Briefs: The Rohingya Crisis and its Impact on BangladeshMyanmar Relations. [Online] Available at: https://www.orfonline.org/ research/the-rohingya-crisis-and-its-impact-on-bangladesh-myanmar-relations [Accessed 6 May 2025].

Banerjee, S., 2025. Arakan Army’s Growing Influence in Myanmar: Implications for the Rohingya. [Online] Available at: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/ arakan-army-s-growing-influence-in-myanmar-implications-for-the-rohingyas [Accessed 17 May 2025].

Barbara, U. S., 1994. Moscow Declaration. [Online] Available at: https://www. presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/moscow-declaration [Accessed 28 March 2025].

Bhattacharjee, D., 2025. Strengthening of Islamic Radicalism in Bangladesh. [Online] Available at: https://www.icwa.in/show_content.php?lang=1&level=3&ls_ id=12693&lid=7771 [Accessed 12 October 2025].

Bhattacharya, S., 2022. Contiguity, Connectivity and Access: The Importance of the Bay of Bengal Region in Indian Foreign Policy. First ed. London: Routledge.

Bull, H., 1977. The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics. 2nd ed. New York Columbia: University Press.

Çoban, M., 2024. An Analysis of the Religious Solidarity Discourses Regarding the Syrian Refugees in Türkiye. Religions, 15(10), pp. 1-19.

Colander, D., 2008. Macroeconomic Policy And Collective Action, Middlebury College, Department of Economics: Middlebury College Working Paper Series 0332.

Czechowska, L., 2013. The Concept of Strategic Partnership as an Input in the Modern Alliance Theory. The Copernicus Journal of Political Studies, 2(4), pp. 36-51.

Elgebeily, S. A., 2017. How China’s foreign policy of non-intervention is all about selective action. [Online] Available at: https://www.scmp.com/comment/ insight-opinion/article/2091502/how-chinas-foreign-policy-non-interventionall-about [Accessed 10 October 2025].

Enemuwe, C. A., 2025. International Affairs Forum. [Online] Available at: https://www.ia-forum.org/Content/ViewInternal_Document.

cfm?contenttype_id=5&ContentID=12006 [Accessed 15 April 2025].

Faye, M., 2021. A forced migration from Myanmar to Bangladesh and beyond: humanitarian response to Rohingya refugee crisis. Journal of International Humanitarian Action, 6(13), pp. 1-7.

Gerrit Kurtz, P. R., 2016. The Evolution of Norms of Protection: Major Powers Debate the Responsibility to Protect. Global Society, 30(1), pp. 3-20.

Harsh V. Pant and Kaush Arha, 2025. A Global Vision of Free and Open Spaces: Creating Connectivity in the Modern World, Washington DC: The Heritage Foundation.

Hoaasin, S. H. a. S., 2019. SSRN. [Online] Available at: https://papers.ssrn.com/ sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3380877 [Accessed 19 February 2025].

Hossain, A. N. M. Z., 2022. Recent Development and Emerging Trends of Research on Rohingya Refugee Crisis (1993-2020): A Bibliometric Analysis. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 17(3), pp. 849862.

ICG, 2023. Crisis Mounts for Rohingya Refugees in Bangladesh. [Online] Available at: https://www.crisisgroup.org/sites/default/files/2023-12/335crisis-mounts-for-rohingya.pdf [Accessed 27 February 2025].

Islam, A. Z., 2024. Understanding Global and Regional Interests in Myanmar and Options for Bangladesh for Resolving Rohingya Crisis Through Strategic Partnership. NDC e-Journal, 4(1), pp. 1-30.

Jaishankar, S., 2020. The India Way: Strategies for an Uncertain World. 1st ed. Noida: Harper Collins Publishers India.

Kay, S., 2000. What is Strategic Partnership?. Taylor & Francis, 47(3), pp. 15-24.

Krishnan, M., 2022. What is India’s relationship to Myanmar’s military junta?. [Online] Available at: https://www.dw.com/en/india-walks-diplomatic-tightrope-onmyanmars-military-junta/a-62685316 [Accessed 15 October 2025].

Maizland, E. A. a. L., 2023. Council on Foreign Relations. [Online] Available at: https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/rohingya-crisis [Accessed 24 April 2025].

Mansoor, S. I. U., 2023. China’s Geopolitical Strategy: Crafting a New World Order. China Quarterly of International Strategic Studies, 9(01), pp. 337-359.

Marston, H., 2025. Rethinking US Myanmar Policy in a Second Trump Administration. [Online] Available at: https://www.stimson.org/2025/ rethinking-us-myanmar-policy-in-a-second-trump-administration/[Accessed 12 October 2025].

Meitei, K. S., 2024. Reassessing India’s Look East Policy: Insurgency, Strategic Engagement and Regional Security. ShodhKosh: Journal of Visual and Performing Arts, 5(4), pp. 2348-2356.

Michalski, A. a. Z. P., 2017. Unlikely Partners? China, the European Union and the Forging of a Strategic Partnership. 1st ed. Singapore: Palgrave Macmillan.

Mizzima, 2025. MNDAA to hand over administration of Lashio Town to Myanmar junta in April. [Online] Available at: https://eng.mizzima.

com/2025/04/06/21069 [Accessed 15 October 2025].

Mohajan, H., 2020. Munich Personal RePEc Archive. [Online] Available at: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/108266/[Accessed 26 February 2025].

Mohammad Fakhrus Salam, M. R. M. & Shohana Abedin Lamisha, M. B. U. H., 2024. Embracing Opportunities: Bangladesh’s Foreign Policy Amid Geopolitical Challanges. Malaysian Journal of International Relations, 12(1), pp. 96-122.

Mousavi, M. A. a. S. A., 2024. The Strategic Relations and Its Forms: An Attempt at Conceptualisation. International Studies, 15 March, 61(1), pp. 20-45.

Musopole, I., 2017. The Influence of Incentive Structures on Collective Action: The Case of Anti-Corruption Collective Action in Malawi, Laxenburg: International Anti-Corruption Academy.

Myanmar Business Today, 2014. Turkey, Myanmar Sign Civil Aviation Agreement, Yangon: Myanmar Business Today.

Nadkarni, V., 2010. Strategic Partnerships in Asia: Balancing without Alliances. London: Routledge.

Nations, U., 2025. ILO Supports First-Ever Competency-based skill Development for Rohingya Refugees in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh. [Online] Available at: https://bangladesh.un.org/en/292591 [Accessed 5 May 2025].

Nguyen Tuan Binh, L. H. K. D. Q. H. C. N. K. H. a. T. X. H., 2024. Geopolitical Competition Between India and China in the Indian Ocean Region: the Case of Myanmar. Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 13(6), pp. 59-76.

Nye, R. O. K. a. J. S., 2012. Power and Interdependence. 4th ed. New York: Longman.

Olson, M., 2002. The Logic of the Collective Action: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups. 20th ed. London: Harvard University Press.

Papageorgiou, M., 2024. Strategic Partnerships and the Promotion of Bilateralism: The Case of Sino-Russian Relationship. In: F. J. B. L. a. C. R. Yichao Li, ed. The Palgrave Handbook on China-Europe-Africa Relations. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 139-158.

Promit Mookherjee, A. A. a. A. K., 2024. ORF. [Online] Available at: https:// www.orfonline.org/research/asean-bimstec-synergy-bringing-together-globalsouth-forces [Accessed 20 February 2025].

RK, 2025. No Safe Ground: Why Repatriation to Myanmar Remains a Distant Dream for Rohingya Refugees. [Online] Available at: https://rohingyakhobor. com/no-safe-ground-why-repatriation-to-myanmar-remains-a-distant-dreamfor-rohingya-refugees/[Accessed 15 October 2025].

Roulo, C., 2019. U.S. Department of Defence. [Online] Available at: https:// www.defense.gov/News/Feature-Stories/story/Article/1684641/alliances-vspartnerships/[Accessed 28 March 2025].

Sehgal, S., 2024. Strategic Interactions: Assessing The Geopolitical Landscape Between India And Neighbouring Countries. Educational Administration: Theory and Practice, 30(5), pp. 1898-1917.

Shukri, S., 2021. The Rohingya Refugee Crisis in Southeast Asia:ASEAN’s Role and Way Forward. Journal of the International Studies, 17(1), pp. 239-263.

Shuvo, M. M. R. a. M. K. R., 2021. China and India’s Comparative Response to the 2017 Rohingya Crisis in Bangladesh. Indonesian Journal of Innovation and Applied Sciences, 2(1), pp. 113-123.

Standard, T. B., 2025. ASEAN urged to act as Rohingya crisis deepens, parliamentarians’ network warns of regional instability. [Online] Available at: https://www.tbsnews.net/bangladesh/asean-urged-act-rohingyacrisis-deepens-aphr-warns-regional-instability-1228776 [Accessed 10 October 2025].

Struver, G., 2016. International Alignment between Interests and Ideology: The Case of China’s Partnership Diplomacy. Hamburg: German Institute of Global and Area Studies.

Sun, S. R. a. Y., 2024. To Counter China, U.S. Must Do More in Myanmar. [Online] Available at: https://www.stimson.org/2024/to-counter-china-u-s-must-domore-in-myanmar/#elementor-toc__heading-anchor-0 [Accessed 10 October 2025].

Than, T. M. M., 2013. Myanmar Security Outlook: Coping with Violence and Armed Resistance. [Online] Available at: https://www.nids.mod.go.jp/english/ publication/joint_research/series9/pdf/14.pdf [Accessed 12 October 2025].

TIKA, 2023. Humanitarian Aid from TİKA to Myanmar, Ankara: TIKA.

Triwibowo, A., 2023. The Characteristics of Indonesian Digital Diplomacy.

Journal of ASEAN Studies, 11(1), pp. 167-196.

Tyushka, A., 2019. Strategic partnerships, international politics and IR theory. States, International Organizations and Strategic Partnerships , 26 July, pp. 8-43.

UNHCR, 2021. UNHCR. [Online] Available at: https://reporting.unhcr.org/ sites/default/files/Underfunding-Report-2021.pdf [Accessed 26 February 2025].

UNHCR, 2025. Operational Data Portal. [Online] Available at: https://data.

unhcr.org/en/country/bgd [Accessed 24 April 2025].

UNHCR, 2025. Operational Data Portal. [Online] Available at: https://data. unhcr.org/en/situations/myanmar [Accessed 25 April 2025].

UNHCR, 2025. States Parties to the 1951 Convention relating to the Status of Refugees and the 1967 Protocol. [Online]

Available at: https://www.unhcr.org/sites/default/files/legacy-pdf/3b73b0d63. pdf [Accessed 10 October 2025].

UNHCR, I. a., 2024. Joint Response Plan: Rohingya Humanitarian Crisis. [Online] Available at: https://rohingyaresponse.org/project/2024-jrp/ [Accessed 5 May 2025].

Waltz, K. N., 2001. Man, the State, and War: A Theoretical Analysis. 2nd ed. New York: Columbia University Press.

Watch, H. R., 2022. Burma: End ‘Ethnic Cleansing’ of Rohingya Muslims. [Online] Available at: https://www.hrw.org/news/2013/04/22/burma-end-ethniccleansing-rohingya-muslims [Accessed 25 April 2025].

Zahed, I. U. M., 2023. Myanmar’s military coup: The Rohingya caught “Between the devil and the deep sea”. Studies in Ethnicity and Nationalism, 23(2), pp. 213231.

Zaman, M., 2023. Six years on, a solution to the Rohingya crisis is still elusive. The Daily Star, 6 August, pp. https://www.thedailystar.net/opinion/views/news/sixyears-solution-the-rohingya-crisis-still-elusive-3387131.

Published

2025-12-04

How to Cite

Brigadier General Ahmed Zamiul Islam, ndc, afwc, psc, MPhil. (2025). BETWEEN NEOREALISM AND HUMANITARIAN IMPERATIVES: A THEORETICAL ANALYSIS OF BANGLADESH’S STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS IN RESOLVING THE FORCIBLY DISPLACED MYANMAR NATIONALS (FDMN) CRISIS . NDC E-JOURNAL, 5(2), 21-52. Retrieved from https://ndcjournal.ndc.gov.bd/ndcj/index.php/ndcj/article/view/426

Issue

Section

ARTICLES